Dallas Wings vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 9-15-23 WNBA Picks

The Atlanta Dream and Dallas Wings meet Friday in game 1 of the WNBA first round playoffs at the College Park Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Atlanta Dream Betting Preview 

The Atlanta Dream enter the playoffs losing 10 of their last 15 games. The Dream are in the playoffs for the first time since 2018. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 82.5 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 84 points on 43 percent shooting. Rhyne Howard is averaging 17.5 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Allisha Gray is averaging 17.1 points and 3.1 assists. Cheyenne Parker is the third double-digit scorer and Aari McDonald is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game.

Dallas Wings Betting Preview 

The Dallas Wings enter the playoffs winning 7 of their last 11 games. The Wings are in the playoffs for the sixth time in the last 9 years. The Dallas Wings are averaging 87.9 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 84.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 21.2 points and 4.5 assists, while Satou Sabally is averaging 18.6 points and 8.1 rebounds. Natasha Howard is the third double-digit scorer and Teaira McCowan is grabbing 9.1 rebounds. The Dallas Wings are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.7 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Dream are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Wings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Round 1 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 19-7 in Dream last 26 overall. The over is 17-4 in Wings last 21 overall. The Dream are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Atlanta Dream aren’t playing great ball entering the playoffs, and they’re playing a Wings team that’s beaten them in all 3 meetings this season, including a 94-77 win a few days ago. The Dream can be spotty at times defensively and that allows teams to hang around, but the history between these clubs has been one-sided recently. I’d need more points to look in Atlanta’s way. I’ll lay the chalk.