Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 9-13-23 WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun meet Wednesday in game 1 of the WNBA first round playoffs at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Lynx enter the playoffs with losses in 4 of their last 6 games. The Lynx are in the playoffs for the 12th time in the last 13 years. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 80.2 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 85 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Napheesa Collier is averaging 21.5 points and 8.5 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 14.3 points and 2.2 assists. Diamond Miller is the third double-digit scorer and Jessica Shepard is grabbing 7.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview 

The Connecticut Sun enter the playoffs with wins in 6 of their last 9 games. The Sun are in the playoffs for a seventh straight season. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 82.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 79 points on 43.5 percent shooting. DeWanna Bonner is averaging 17.4 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Brionna Jones is averaging 15.9 points and 2.4 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Tiffany Hayes is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Sun are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. The over is 7-2 in Lynx last 9 overall. The over is 13-4 in Sun last 17 home games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Minnesota Lynx finished the season playing poorly, and that includes falling off a cliff defensively. The Connecticut Sun have won 3 of the 4 meetings against the Lynx this season, and most of those efforts weren’t competitive. When the Sun were motivated and healthy, they’re one of the more balanced teams in the league and a team that covers numbers at a decent clip. I just don’t trust the Lynx’s defense given what we’ve seen these last couple of weeks. Give me the Sun in a comfortable home win.