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Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction 1-21-24 Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning (24-17-5) vs. Detroit Red Wings (23-17-5)
January 21, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Red Wings -102 / Tampa Bay Lightning -118; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Detroit Red Wings on Sunday night at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Tampa Bay has won five games in a row, while Detroit has won three of their last four. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Lightning vs Red Wings prediction.

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 24-17-5 this year after they beat Buffalo by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they were able to play great defense and added an empty net goal for the win. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 27-16 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay has also defeated Minnesota, Anaheim, New Jersey, and Los Angeles during this winning streak. The Lightning are scoring 3.38 goals per game and they are allowing 3.38 goals against per game, while going 31% on the power play and 80.6% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 28 goals, 47 assists, and 192 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 13-9-0 this year with a 2.86 goals against average and a .899 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

  • The Lightning have lost each of their last nine night games following a road win.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 16 of their last 17 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine night games.
  • The Lightning have lost the second period in 10 of their last 11 night games following a road win.

Red Wings Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 23-17-5 this season after they lost to Carolina by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Detroit tied the game at two late in the second period, but they allowed the last two goals in the loss. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 30-12 and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Detroit had won their previous three games against Florida, Toronto, and Los Angeles. The Red Wings are scoring 3.51 goals per game and they are allowing 3.33 goals against per game, while going 22.1% on the power play and 80.3% on the penalty kill. Dylan Larkin has led Detroit with 18 goals, 22 assists, and 135 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is Alex Lyon, who is 10-5-1 this year with a 2.57 goals against average and a .922 save percentage. 

Detroit Red Wings Team Facts

  • The Red Wings have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Lightning at Little Caesars Arena.
  • The Red Wings have lost the second period in four of their last five games following a road loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games against opponents on a winning streak.

Lightning vs Red Wings Betting Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this game on a five game winning streak, but they will be on the second game of a back to back here. The Lightning got a win in Buffalo on Saturday afternoon, but they are only 9-12-2 on the road this season. Detroit has played very well over the last couple of weeks and their defense has been much improved. The Red Wings are 11-7-4 at home this season and I like them in this matchup. Tampa Bay has struggled on the road this year and the back to back isn’t going to help. Take the Red Wings in this game. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Wings ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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