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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks prediction 1-19-24 Picks

Atlanta Hawks (17-23) vs. Miami Heat (24-17)
January 19, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -6.5; Over/Under: +234
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Hawks look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Miami Heat look for a win after winning 5 of their last 8 games. Let’s preview this game and give out a Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks are coming off wins over the Spurs and Magic. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 121 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 123 points on 50.1 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 27.2 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dejounte Murray is averaging 21 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bogdan Bogdanovic is the third double-digit scorer, and De’Andre Hunter is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Team Facts

  • The Hawks have lost each of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • Each of the Hawks’ last six night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Hornets and Nets while losing to the Raptors. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.5 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 22.4 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last 12 home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last seven games at Kaseya Center.
  • Ten of the last 11 night games between the Hawks and Heat have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction

I’m assuming the Hawks are going to be without Trae Young due to an illness, given this beefy line. The Miami Heat should be motivated for a bounce back performance after getting embarrassed by an undermanned Raptors team. Either way, the Hawks aren’t a team I’m excited to back as they continue to underachieve, and they’re 10-30 ATS on the season. The Hawk’s 25 percent cover percentage is by far the worst in the league. It’s 10.9 percent lower than the Suns, who are second worst. That’s all you need to know, folks. Give me the Heat. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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