Philadelphia Phillies (5-10) vs. Cincinnati Reds (6-8)
April 16, 2023 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +165 / Philadelphia Phillies -195; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Philadelphia is a -195 road favorite while Cincinnati is a +165 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 9 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies and is 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Luis Cessa gets the nod for the Reds and is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Cincinnati’s 13-0 win over the Phillies on Saturday made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings for the Reds in this matchup.
Trends
Philadelphia is 17-8 in their last 25 games against the NL Central and 3-8 in their last 11 Sunday games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 5-2 in their last 7 home games and 12-28 in their last 40 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
Pick
I’m backing the over here. Aaron Nola was statistically better on the road last year, but he was also a slow starter and I worry that could be the case here as well this season. On the other side, I just don’t trust Luis Cessa in this role and in a band box like Great American Ballpark, I expect the balls to be flying and the runs to sail onto the board to get us up and over this total.
