Red Sox vs Guardians Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/30/23
Cleveland Guardians (13-14) vs. Boston Red Sox (14-14)
April 30, 2023 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -175 / Cleveland Guardians +140; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
The Cleveland Guardians have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. The Guardians are 3-12 this season when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 30 hits and 11 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Myles Straw have combined for 54 hits and 24 RBI. Logan Allen gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Allen’s first career game against the Red Sox.
The Boston Red Sox have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The Red Sox are 13-7 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with 34 hits and 14 RBI, while Justin Turner and Rafael Devers have combined for 54 hits and 36 RBI. Chris Sale gets the ball, and he is 1-2 with a 8.22 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Sale is 5-8 with a 4.76 ERA and 148 strikeouts in his career against the Guardians.
The Guardians are 35-17 in their last 52 road games and 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games. The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central. The under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall. The over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 overall. The Guardians are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings.
The Boston Red Sox are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, look sharp offensively, and because of the name on the mound. However, Chris Sale hasn’t been good so far this season, and that includes 21 earned runs in 23 innings. The Guardians have offensive issues they need to work out, but the value is with the road team and the plus money.