Red Sox vs. Guardians Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/28/23

The Cleveland Guardians and the Boston Red Sox meet in MLB action from Fenway Park on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Cleveland is a -135 road favorite while Boston is a +115 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Shane Bieber will start for the Guardians here and is 1-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox and is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Boston’s 4-2 win over Cleveland back on July 28th, 2022, snapped the Guardians’ two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Cleveland is 20-6 in their last 26 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 games overall while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. Boston is 5-0 in their last 5 games after a loss and 10-4 in their last 14 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the AL Central.

Pick

I’m rolling with the Guardians here. Cleveland’s the slightly better team here, but they have a huge edge on the mound with Bieber over Nick Pivetta, who has a bloated ERA from a lot of runs being given up in just two starts at Fenway Park this season. I think Bieber puts forth a solid showing here and helps Cleveland get the win here.

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