Red Sox vs. Guardians Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/28/23
Cleveland Guardians (12-13) vs. Boston Red Sox (13-13)
April 28, 2023 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +115 / Cleveland Guardians -135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Guardians and the Boston Red Sox meet in MLB action from Fenway Park on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Cleveland is a -135 road favorite while Boston is a +115 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Shane Bieber will start for the Guardians here and is 1-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox and is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Boston’s 4-2 win over Cleveland back on July 28th, 2022, snapped the Guardians’ two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Cleveland is 20-6 in their last 26 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 games overall while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. Boston is 5-0 in their last 5 games after a loss and 10-4 in their last 14 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the AL Central.
Pick
I’m rolling with the Guardians here. Cleveland’s the slightly better team here, but they have a huge edge on the mound with Bieber over Nick Pivetta, who has a bloated ERA from a lot of runs being given up in just two starts at Fenway Park this season. I think Bieber puts forth a solid showing here and helps Cleveland get the win here.