Cincinnati Reds (3-3) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (2-5)
April 8, 2023 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -140 / Cincinnati Reds +120; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Philadelphia is a -140 home favorite while Cincinnati is a +120 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Nick Lodolo will start here and is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season for the Reds. Bailey Falter will start for the Phillies and is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Philadelphia’s 5-2 win over Cincinnati on Friday made it five straight wins for the Phillies in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Cincinnati is 9-23 in their last 32 games overall and 1-10 in their last 11 road games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a left-handed starter. Philadelphia is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and 35-17 in their last 52 home games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a left-handed starter.
Pick
I’m backing the Reds here. I was on the Phillies on Friday with the big pitching edge behind Zack wheeler, but with Bailey Falter here, I’m a lot less convinced with the Phils. Cincinnati is hitting lefties fairly well this season and I’m just not in a position where I want to be laying this kind of number with Falter. Nick Lodolo was decent in his start and I look for him to build on that with another solid performance here. Give me Cincinnati.
