Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 3-29-24 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at the Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Phillies prediction.

Braves vs Phillies Odds

The Braves open as -130 favorites on the road, while the Phillies are slight underdogs at +110. The Phillies have now been underdogs in 5 of their last 6 games against the Braves. The over / under is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Braves vs Phillies Pitching Matchup

Spencer Strider gets the ball for the Braves, and he was 20-5 with a 3.86 ERA and 281 strikeouts last season. Strider is 8-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 72 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Phillies, and he was 13-6 with a 3.61 ERA and 212 strikeouts last season. Wheeler is 12-7 with a 3.18 ERA and 173 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

Braves vs Phillies Injuries

The Braves open the season with a clean injury report. The Phillies have four pitchers who are out indefinitely in Taijuan Walker, Orion Kerkering, Dylan Covey and Michael Rucker.   

Braves vs Phillies Recent Meeting / Next Series

The Braves and Phillies last met in October in the NLDS, a series the Phillies won 3-1. The Phillies have beaten the Braves in 4 of the last 5 meetings overall. After this series, the Braves will play the White Sox, while the Phillies will clash with the Reds.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Friday day games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

• The Braves have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road day games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four road games.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

I believe the Phillies can make a run for an NL East title as the talents there, so with them as a home dog is appealing, especially with Wheeler on the mound. However, Strider has downright owned the Phillies through his career. In 8 starts, Strider is 8-0 against the Phillies while holding current batters to a .195 batting average and 77 strikeouts in 195 at bats. Dominance, folks. I’m siding with history in this season opener and laying the cheap price with the Braves on the road. Following this series, the Braves will take on the White Sox and Diamondbacks, while the Phillies will play against the Reds, Nationals, and Cardinals.