Mets vs Padres Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/12/23

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The Padres are 6-2 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with 15 hits and 10 RBI, while Manny Machado and Ha-Seong Kim have combined for 24 hits and 9 RBI. Blake Snell gets the ball, and he is 0-1 with a 7.88 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Snell is 3-3 with a 2.73 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

The New York Mets have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games. The Mets are 6-1 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with 11 hits and 5 RBI, while Starling Marte and Pete Alonso have combined for 21 hits and 13 RBI. Tylor Megill gets the ball, and he is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Megill’s first career game against the Padres.

The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. The Mets are 47-22 in their last 69 home games and 11-3 in their last 14 Wednesday games. The over is 12-5-1 in Padres last 18 Wednesday games. The over is 20-8-1 in Mets last 29 overall.

Blake Snell hasn’t looked great to start the season, and we need to see a larger sample size from Tylor Megill to believe in this start. Quick turnaround, and both offenses are more than capable of putting up crooked numbers. I expect some fireworks and the line is reasonable. Give me the over in this spot.

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