Mets vs. Nationals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/27/23
Washington Nationals (9-14) vs. New York Mets (14-11)
April 27, 2023 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -225 / Washington Nationals +180; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Citi Field on Thursday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
New York is a -225 home favorite while Washington is a +180 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Trevor Williams will start for Washington here and is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Joey Lucchesi will start here for the Mets and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Washington’s 4-1 win over the Mets on Wednesday made it back-to-back wins for the Nationals in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Washington is 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 36-88 in their last 124 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. New York is 8-3 in their last 11 games against the NL East and 49-22 in their last 71 games following a loss while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Pick
I’m rolling with the Mets -1.5 here. I just don’t trust Trevor Williams, especially when he has a Nationals lineup behind him that is still one of the worst in baseball. I’m not eager to lay juice or a run line with Joey Lucchesi after one good start, but he did look really good in that start and he has the far more trustworthy lineup behind him. I’ll roll with the Mets in this one by a couple of runs.



