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Guardians vs Marlins Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/21/23

Miami Marlins (10-9) vs. Cleveland Guardians (10-9)
April 21, 2023 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -167 / Miami Marlins +130; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Miami Marlins have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Marlins are 6-0 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 28 hits and 7 RBI, while Garrett Cooper and Bryan De La Cruz have combined for 38 hits and 17 RBI. Braxton Garrett gets the ball, and he is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Garrett’s first career game against the Guardians.

The Cleveland Guardians have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Guardians are 3-8 this season when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 20 hits and 12 RBI, while Andres Gimenez and Myles Straw have combined for 38 hits and 11 RBI. Zach Plesac gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 6.92 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Plesac’s first career game against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 16-35 in their last 51 Friday games and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 Friday games and 36-17 in their last 53 overall. The under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 overall. The under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 overall. The Marlins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland and 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

I’m not excited to get behind Braxton Garrett on the road, and the Guardians should have the edge with Zach Plesac on the hill. However, the Marlins have played the better ball over the last week and their offense has shown flashes. The Cleveland Guardians are in a slump offensively, and they’ve underachieved with the bats overall up to this point. I’ll take a stab with the road dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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