The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in MLB action from American Family Field on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Milwaukee is listed as a -120 home favorite while the Mets are +100 road underdogs. The total for this game set at 8 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Carlos Carrasco is listed as the starter for the Mets after going 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 152 strikeouts last season. Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers after going 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 86 strikeouts last season.
Matchup History
Milwaukee’s 6-0 win over the Mets on September 21st, 2022, snapped the Mets’ three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
New York is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 series-opening games. Milwaukee is 4-13 in their last 17 games against the NL East and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win while the under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games.
Pick
I’m siding with the Brewers here. New York is a decent enough team and Peralta’s strikeout numbers were down, but he doesn’t give up a ton of hard contact and I think that getting back home will give the Brewers a bit of a boost here. These early start times also have a tendency to favor the home team a little bit more, so I’ll back the Brewers in this one.