New York Mets (3-1) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (2-1)
April 3, 2023 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +100 / New York Mets -120; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in MLB action from American Family Field on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Milwaukee is listed as a -120 home favorite while the Mets are +100 road underdogs. The total for this game set at 8 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Carlos Carrasco is listed as the starter for the Mets after going 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 152 strikeouts last season. Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers after going 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 86 strikeouts last season.
Matchup History
Milwaukee’s 6-0 win over the Mets on September 21st, 2022, snapped the Mets’ three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
New York is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 series-opening games. Milwaukee is 4-13 in their last 17 games against the NL East and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win while the under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games.
Pick
I’m siding with the Brewers here. New York is a decent enough team and Peralta’s strikeout numbers were down, but he doesn’t give up a ton of hard contact and I think that getting back home will give the Brewers a bit of a boost here. These early start times also have a tendency to favor the home team a little bit more, so I’ll back the Brewers in this one.
