MAC: Buffalo vs Miami-OH 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Buffalo Bulls and Miami (OH) RedHawks clash Saturday in MAC week 5 college football action at UB Stadium. The Miami (OH) RedHawks look to get a game above a .500 record. The Buffalo Bulls look to rebound from a 1-3 start.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks have lost 7 of their last 9 road games. Aveon Smith is completing 48.5 percent of his passes for 346 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Mac Hippenhammer and Nate Muersch have combined for 289 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jalen Walker has 9 receptions. The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 153.5 yards per contest, and Keyon Mozee leads the way with 246 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 25.8 points and 353.5 yards per game. Ryan McWood leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 42 tackles, Caiden Woullard has 3 sacks and Eli Blakey has 1 interception.

The Buffalo Bulls have lost their last 3 home games. Cole Snyder is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 1,026 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Justin Marshall and Quian Williams have combined for 595 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jamari Gassett has 14 receptions. The Buffalo Bulls ground game is averaging 131.8 yards per contest, and Mike Washington leads the way with 218 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 34.3 points and 433.5 yards per game. Shaun Dolac leads the Buffalo Bulls with 40 tackles, George Wolo has 1 sack and James Patterson has 1 interception.

The RedHawks are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bulls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The under is 4-1 in RedHawks last 5 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 games overall. The RedHawks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Buffalo and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams or bet this game overall. With that said, I’ll lean toward Buffalo at home and the points. The Miami (OH) RedHawks don’t do anything particularly well outside of stop the run defensively, and they’ve had issues on the road dating back to last season. The Buffalo Bulls are coming off a nice win over Eastern Michigan where the offense showed some life and maybe that’s the turning point. It’s Buffalo or pass for me.