VMI vs East Tennessee State 1/29/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers and the VMI Keydets meet in college basketball action from Cameron Hall on Saturday afternoon.

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after an 80-76 loss to UNC-Greensboro last time out. Ledarrius Brewer leads the Bucs in scoring with 13.5 PPG along with 4.8 RPG while David Sloan has 13.3 PPG with a team-high 5 APG to lead the Buccaneers in the assist department. Jordan King has 13 PPG and Ty Brewer has 10.5 PPG with a team-high 6.5 RPG to lead the Buccaneers on the glass and to make up the group of double-digit scorers for East Tennessee State up to this point in the season. As a team, East Tennessee State is averaging 71.6 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field, 35% from three and 72.4% from the foul line while allowing 72.2 PPG on 44.2% shooting from the field and 32.1% from three this season.

The VMI Keydets will try to bounce back from back-to-back losses after a 79-64 loss to Furman last time out. Jake Stephens leads the Keydets in scoring and rebounding with 18.9 PPG and 8.9 RPG while Kamdyn Curfman has 17.2 PPG with 2.7 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for VMI coming into this game. Trey Bonham has 9.9 PPg with a team-high 3.9 APG to lead VMI in assists while Sean Conway has 9.4 PPG with 6.8 RPG this season. As a team, VMI is averaging 79.1 PPG on 46.2% shooting from the field, 37.8% from behind the arc and 78.5% from three while allowing 71.4 PPG on 39.1% shooting from the field and 31.7% from behind the arc this season.

East Tennessee State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss. VMI is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.

I get why VMI is favored at home here and I’ve made my fair share of money backing the Keydets this season. However, ETSU has downright owned VMI over the last few years and while the Keydets are a solid team, sometimes you just have to admit that a team has your number and I think East Tennessee State has VMI’s number. Give me the Buccaneers and the points.