Virginia vs Louisville Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/4/23
Louisville Cardinals (4-26) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (22-6)
March 4, 2023 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -18.5 / Louisville Cardinals +18.5; Over/Under: +127.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Louisville Cardinals and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in college basketball action from the John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday afternoon. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Virginia is listed as an 18.5-point home favorite with the total for this game sitting at 127.5 points.
Injuries
For Louisville, Emmanuel Okorafor is questionable for this game with an ankle injury while Virginia has a clean injury report coming into this game.
Matchup History
Virginia’s 61-58 win over Louisville back on February 15th, 2023, made it six straight wins for the Cavaliers in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games following an ATS loss while the over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 road games. Virginia is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400.
Pick
I’m going to take a shot on the Cardinals here. I have no doubts that Virginia probably wins this game comfortably, but nearly 20 points is a lot to give up with a Virginia team that plays at a snail’s pace and is defense-first, potentially defense-first and second as well. Louisville’s been a dumpster fire this season, but even they’ve provided value in spots. Give me Louisville and the points here.
