Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes Prediction 11-11-23 CFL Picks

The Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts meet Saturday in the CFL East Final at BMO Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Montreal Alouettes Betting Preview 

The Montreal Alouettes are coming off a win over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week. The Alouettes have won 6 straight games overall. Cody Fajardo is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 3,830 yards, 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Austin Mack and Tyler Snead have combined for 1,942 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Tyson Philpot has 47 receptions. The Montreal Alouettes ground game is averaging 103.5 yards per contest, and William Stanback leads the way with 800 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Montreal is allowing 21.8 points and 349.1 yards per game. Tyrice Beverette leads the Montreal Alouettes with 89 tackles, Shawn Lemon has 9 sacks and Marc-Antoine Dequoy has 5 interceptions.

Toronto Argonauts Betting Preview 

The Toronto Argonauts haven’t played a game since October 28. The Argonauts are riding a 4-game winning streak. Chad Kelly is completing 68.5 percent of his passes for 4,125 yards, 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. DaVaris Daniels and Damonte Coxie have combined for 1,746 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Dejon Brissett has 38 receptions. The Toronto Argonauts ground game is averaging 113.7 yards per contest, and A.J. Ouellette leads the way with 1,009 and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Toronto is allowing 22 points and 381.7 yards per game. Adarius Pickett leads the Toronto Argonauts with 105 tackles, Folarin Orimolade has 10 sacks and Qwan’tez Stiggers has 5 interceptions.

Trends

The Alouettes are 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 Saturday games and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Argonauts are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 home games and 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The under is 7-1 in Alouettes last 8 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games overall. The Alouettes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Toronto.

Randy’s Pick

The Toronto Argonauts have won all 3 meetings against the Alouettes this season, they’re at home and have the rest advantage. It makes sense why they’re favored. However, two of the three games were decided by single digits. We also have no idea how the long layoff is going to impact the Argonauts. A trip to the Grey Cup is on the line here, and we’ve seen competitive games between these sides. I’ll take a shot with the Alouettes and the free points.