Fresno State vs Sacramento State 12/17/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in college basketball action from the Save Mart Center on Saturday.

The Sacramento State Hornets will look to build on a 76-74 win over Long Beach State last time out. Zach Chappell leads the Hornets in scoring with 15.6 PPG while Akol Mawein has 10.8 PPG with 5.9 RPG and Callum McRae has 10.7 PPG with a team-high 9.4 RPG to lead the Hornets on the glass and to finish off the group of double-digit scorers for Sac State so far this season. Cameron Wilbon also has 9.9 PPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Hornets in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, Sacramento State is averaging 69.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 67.3% from the foul line this season.

The Fresno State Bulldogs will try to bounce back from a 76-72 loss to Pacific in their last game. Isaih Moore leads the Bulldogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.6 PPG and 8.9 RPG and Jemari Baker has 10.2 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Fresno State up to this point in the season. Jordan Campbell has a team-high 2.6 APG this season. As a team, Fresno State is averaging 63.1 PPG on 42.8% shooting from the field, 26.4% from three and 71.5% from the foul line this season.

Sacramento State is 7-0 ATS int heir last 7 Saturday games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Fresno State is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record.

I get the case to be made across the board, but I personally like the over here. The Bulldogs aren’t just winning games with defense anymore, they’re able to put some points up on the board as well and it’s actually been a change of pace as they’ve scored 65+ in three straight games. Sacramento State scores more consistently, but they’re also giving up points in bunches and have hit the over in 6 of their last 7 lined games. Give me the over.